I understand we are all growing tired and agitated with this carousel of storms this winter, but, just remember, I do not control the weather. I simply analyze it.
Now that I tried to protect myself, let's get down to it. There's yet another coastal storm moving up the coast this weekend. The good news is that the storm is forecasted to hug the coast. This is a good thing because the storm will not be able to tap into as much moisture as possible and therefore it won't be able to "bomb out" and become a powerful winter storm. Also, it will allow more warm air to filter into the area.
Now, light snow will begin to move into the area very early Saturday morning. By late morning, as temperatures begin to climb to the low 30s, the snow will begin to mix with sleet and rain. The low pressure center will be off the coast of NJ by mid afternoon, at which time, the warmer air will be moving into the region, allowing for a changeover to rain. This will keep our snow totals down. We are looking for a light snowfall with this storm and some minor icing, primarily before the changeover to rain. Much of north Jersey will see snow totals between 1"-3". The further east you are, the lower the snow totals for this weekend. Sussex and Warren counties will have a greater chance of minimal ice accumulation as they will most likely not see any rainfall, but rather, a longer period of snow/sleet.
As a side note, we are only 18" away from having the snowiest winter on record for the NYC metro area! More on that to come next week.
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